Essentially pretending everyone is going to be New York is not the correct approach. He is using data and his own clinical experience to make these recommendations for his own community and others like them. He was clear this was not about being smarter or right. Faucis of the world and state health officials. At the end of the briefing, he was challenged on why he thought he was smarter than the Dr. Erickson did hit back at journalists who were challenging his assumptions. They did not speculate as to why this was happening, but indicated they found it odd.Īnd Dr. While most of the press conference remained focused on the science and medicine, they did share that their colleagues in emergency medicine around the country report they are being pressured to add a diagnosis of COVID-19. Or any individual with a minor medical problem that will have a bigger impact because care is delayed. So their appendix ruptures at home and they end up hospitalized with a severe infection. According to the data on deaths for otherwise healthy individuals, the number of deaths is “infinitesimal.” He is equally worried about the person who has abdominal pain and fever and is too scared to seek care. But giving people accurate information is a way that fear can be reduced. Massihi said the fear of the unknown is understandable. However, for the 95% of individuals who will recover without significant intervention, they say it’s time to end the restrictions and continue testing.ĭr. For those with preexisting conditions or who are immunocompromised, the use of PPE and self-isolation may still be the correct advice. They even say that this should happen without masks and other types of PPE. With the predictable negatives of self-isolation and the economic pain they are causing, the doctors are calling on political leaders to begin letting the healthy adults return to normal activities. Most often it is just one of a number of illnesses a patient is suffering with. A body that has been weakened by chronic disease is not as able to fight off infection. He said after viewing hundreds of autopsies in his career, people rarely die for one reason.
Erickson then explained that the vast majority of people were dying with COVID-19, not from COVID-19. Massihi said keeping people indoors can cause Vitamin D deficiencies which further impact immune function and can cause a depressed mood.ĭr. They also think people should absolutely be spending time outside. In the opinion of both doctors, the current guidelines are not based on rational thinking. He added that it is because of these fomites, inanimate objects that can carry and transfer disease, it is highly likely COVID-19 would be found if your home or car were sampled.Īdditionally, there is no science that says it is safer to go to Costco than it is to go to the small local restaurant for lunch. So, when you go to Costco or Home Depot, you pick up needed items that may carry COVID-19. Erickson repeated the finding that COVID-19 can live on plastic for three days. Next, they say the current guidelines are not backed by science. This will be confirmed by additional testing finding new cases for the same number of deaths. Based on their analysis, the death rate varies from 0.03% in California to 0.1% in New York state. They both agreed this is almost certain in New York as well. According to their analysis, both Kern County and the state of California have likely experienced a widespread viral infection. Their data extrapolations, using a method similar to the one the CDC uses for influenza, suggest that death rates for COVID-19 are similar to those for the flu. And we have all watched the predictive models be radically adjusted as actual data has been loaded into them. Throughout the briefing he emphasized that decision making going forward needs to be based on data, not predictive models. “Lockdown versus non-lockdown did not produce a statistically different number of deaths.
Erickson phrased it this way, “Millions of cases, a small number of deaths.” He specifically noted that the difference in the number of deaths between Sweden, with limited restrictions, and Norway, which locked down, is not statistically significant. However, now they assert that the data is telling them that the disease pattern of COVID-19 is more like the flu.
It was a novel virus and there was very limited information. Both doctors understand and support the initial reactions to the COVID-19 outbreak by the federal, state and local governments.
0 kommentar(er)
